Know the rules The Paceline Forum Builder's Spotlight


Go Back   The Paceline Forum > General Discussion

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1471  
Old 02-03-2020, 01:43 PM
MattTuck's Avatar
MattTuck MattTuck is offline
Classics Fan
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Grantham, NH
Posts: 12,265
Quote:
Originally Posted by unterhausen View Post
I don't know about this year's flu, but last year's flu was killing off healthy young people. I think most viruses tend towards becoming less deadly so they survive longer. Here's hoping that is true with this one.

I'm a bit curious what will happen with Brexit. I guess there will be a lot of panics over the next 11 months
edit: The paper I had referenced earlier has been withdrawn. Stay calm and carry on.
__________________
And we have just one world, But we live in different ones

Last edited by MattTuck; 02-03-2020 at 01:49 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #1472  
Old 02-03-2020, 02:15 PM
oldpotatoe's Avatar
oldpotatoe oldpotatoe is offline
Proud Grandpa
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Republic of Boulder, USA
Posts: 47,468
Quote:
Originally Posted by unterhausen View Post
I don't know about this year's flu, but last year's flu was killing off healthy young people. I think most viruses tend towards becoming less deadly so they survive longer. Here's hoping that is true with this one.

I'm a bit curious what will happen with Brexit. I guess there will be a lot of panics over the next 11 months
Hope Scotland leaves the UK as a result of BREXIT. Scotland is better off negotiating their own trade deals plus Scotland NEEDS immigration and isn’t in the ultra right wing, nationalistic, bend that Boris and another ‘hair guy’, is.
__________________
Chisholm's Custom Wheels
Qui Si Parla Campagnolo
Reply With Quote
  #1473  
Old 02-03-2020, 02:27 PM
Dekonick's Avatar
Dekonick Dekonick is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Howierd County, Maryland
Posts: 6,442
Quote:
Originally Posted by joosttx View Post
until it mutants into a killer.
Fortunately, viruses tend to work the other direction as being a killer is counter productive. Both host and virus tend to adapt to one another over time.
Reply With Quote
  #1474  
Old 02-03-2020, 02:51 PM
joosttx's Avatar
joosttx joosttx is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: Larkspur, Ca
Posts: 7,995
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dekonick View Post
Fortunately, viruses tend to work the other direction as being a killer is counter productive. Both host and virus tend to adapt to one another over time.
Quick killer is counterproductive. From the plant virology world the newly introduced slow killers were the most impactful. Maybe it’s different for animals.
__________________
***IG: mttamgrams***

Last edited by joosttx; 02-03-2020 at 02:53 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #1475  
Old 02-03-2020, 09:54 PM
robertbb robertbb is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2018
Posts: 1,037
Quote:
Originally Posted by joosttx View Post
Quick killer is counterproductive. From the plant virology world the newly introduced slow killers were the most impactful. Maybe it’s different for animals.
I don't buy this. As if a virus knows/cares how long its host survives and can mutate to kill it more slowly. The cells aren't going to communicate between hosts...
Reply With Quote
  #1476  
Old 02-03-2020, 10:05 PM
Llewellyn's Avatar
Llewellyn Llewellyn is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: Perth, Australia
Posts: 1,600
I maintain my point (probably unpopular) that the only way the planet could survive into the future is if about 25% (as a minimum) of the human population gets wiped out by something. Other than that we'll have to wait for humans to continue making it uninhabitable (which will probably be in fewer than 100 years at the current rate).
Reply With Quote
  #1477  
Old 02-03-2020, 11:26 PM
Louis Louis is offline
Boeuf Chane
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: St. Louis MO
Posts: 25,827
Quote:
Originally Posted by Llewellyn View Post
I maintain my point (probably unpopular) that the only way the planet could survive into the future is if about 25% (as a minimum) of the human population gets wiped out by something. Other than that we'll have to wait for humans to continue making it uninhabitable (which will probably be in fewer than 100 years at the current rate).
I don't think we're anywhere near "Max Human." The quantity of 99.9 percenters can increase a lot (and their misery index too) and humans will still survive. Overall most people won't be happy, and the 0.1 percenters will have to build taller and taller walls to keep the 99.9% out, but they'll have the power and the money, so they'll probably be able to do it, until conditions truly are untenable. Then eventually it will all come crashing down, and you can pick your dystopian / apocalyptic movie of choice to imagine what things will be like. (I found "The Road" to be particularly nasty.)
Reply With Quote
  #1478  
Old 02-03-2020, 11:54 PM
mjb266 mjb266 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 1,320
My wife has been working a lot with Rabbit hemorrhagic disease...wait til we get a human equivalent. Huge transmission rates and high mortality rates (~90%).

Decimates the entire population, and there is nothing we can do about it. Like Ebola on steroids.
Reply With Quote
  #1479  
Old 02-03-2020, 11:57 PM
Louis Louis is offline
Boeuf Chane
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: St. Louis MO
Posts: 25,827
Quote:
Originally Posted by mjb266 View Post
My wife has been working a lot with Rabbit hemorrhagic disease...wait til we get a human equivalent. Huge transmission rates and high mortality rates (~90%).

Decimates the entire population, and there is nothing we can do about it. Like Ebola on steroids.
As much as I can see some good coming from this sort of research, I wouldn't be able to justify it to myself.

If that and janitor were my only choices, I'd be scrubbing toilets.

Edit: That's assuming this is lab work, where they purposely infect test subjects. If it's just working with the bugs themselves, not Thumper or Hazel, then that's great.

Last edited by Louis; 02-04-2020 at 12:01 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #1480  
Old 02-04-2020, 12:09 AM
mjb266 mjb266 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 1,320
Not lab work. On the response side of things instead...not that there is a whole lot you can do in response. Can’t vaccinate effectively, can’t cull as there are hundreds of stakeholders all with different values/beliefs, they(bunnies) live in communities underground, and the virus can be transmitted a variety of ways.
Reply With Quote
  #1481  
Old 02-04-2020, 12:13 AM
Louis Louis is offline
Boeuf Chane
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: St. Louis MO
Posts: 25,827
Quote:
Originally Posted by mjb266 View Post
Not lab work. On the response side of things instead...
That's good. I wish her success, even though it will most likely come slowly.
Reply With Quote
  #1482  
Old 02-04-2020, 06:13 AM
lookout2015 lookout2015 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 286
Quote:
Originally Posted by robertbb View Post
I don't buy this. As if a virus knows/cares how long its host survives and can mutate to kill it more slowly. The cells aren't going to communicate between hosts...
It doesn’t “know” or communicate but it doesn’t have to. The ones which kill their host too quickly, kill themselves in the process so don’t replicate and spread through the host population. The ones which kill their host more slowly have time to replicate and spread to other hosts and survive. Natural selection doing what natural selection does.
Reply With Quote
  #1483  
Old 02-04-2020, 10:07 AM
Tony T's Avatar
Tony T Tony T is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 6,172
….and…. we're back — DOW up 450, S&P up 43 and NAZDAQ up 130 (all time high)
…and TESLA, wow, uo 20% yesterday, and another 15% today @ 900
Reply With Quote
  #1484  
Old 02-05-2020, 10:24 PM
joosttx's Avatar
joosttx joosttx is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: Larkspur, Ca
Posts: 7,995
Quote:
Originally Posted by mjb266 View Post
My wife has been working a lot with Rabbit hemorrhagic disease...wait til we get a human equivalent. Huge transmission rates and high mortality rates (~90%).

Decimates the entire population, and there is nothing we can do about it. Like Ebola on steroids.
Lovely
__________________
***IG: mttamgrams***
Reply With Quote
  #1485  
Old 02-06-2020, 06:54 AM
Davist's Avatar
Davist Davist is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Posts: 1,649
Quote:
Originally Posted by Llewellyn View Post
I maintain my point (probably unpopular) that the only way the planet could survive into the future is if about 25% (as a minimum) of the human population gets wiped out by something. Other than that we'll have to wait for humans to continue making it uninhabitable (which will probably be in fewer than 100 years at the current rate).
Most projections show population stabilizing in the next 10-20 years then declining after that. You must have liked the Avengers End Game movie..
Reply With Quote
Reply

Tags
economy, freemoneyhouse, stonks, vertdoug for fed chair, wealth, yen carry trade


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:28 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.