Quote:
Originally Posted by November Dave
If Rapha can figure out how to get their clubs/locations to profitability, I see them as an asset. I went to a pop-up one in Coconut Grove several years ago and it was very lively and fun, went on a few rides from there while I was there. I'm headed to Amsterdam for work in a couple of weeks and will probably stop in the store there because it's cool and well merchandised and the staff are actually nice people who are cycling mad, and they typically have some neat location-specific items (I got some Rapha AMS socks when I was there last year). I won't get to ride there, though.
The good point has been made that Rapha needs to expand beyond cycling to really hit, which may be very true. I don't know. I think I saw their annual topline sales revenue at 110mm GBP, which is a fairly substantial number.
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I pulled the accounts from their companies house filings. The losses are real not some accounting gimmicks.
Cycling clothing is just niche and there probably is not a lot of staying power with any buzz you can create. This is why the Rapha Club members are declining. It may have helped for a bit with sales, but now is just another sunk cost.
They can probably keep a couple Rapha stores in high traffic upscale tourist areas like Soho in London, and maybe smartly placed pop-ups for physical presence. They can probably get their costs and revenue in line can be a static good business at 100+- in turnover. Maybe slightly lower. (The UK is where their sales have actually declined, NA, Eu, Asia are all pretty static.)
The issue then will be whether the Walton brothers want to keep Rapha because they like cycling, or because it is not a growth company they sell it on like most PE would do. In that case, it probably gets bought by a SPARC and ABG (They bought Eddie Bauer) and it ends up just with their stable of tenants in the mall and outlet. SPARC is also partly owned by Simons Property the mall operator. Their companies- Eddie Bauer, Nine West , Reebok, Aeropostale, Nautica, Brooks Brothers. are always tenants in their malls. Nothing is random.