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  #3571  
Old 08-05-2024, 12:34 PM
cash05458 cash05458 is offline
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I am not a finance economy fellow...but watching, say, the guardian, literally gaslight normal americans for knowing/feeling the economy isn't in good shape and stating that they are listening to propaganda to think otherwise as the economy is in such fantastic shape...

And then this just this morning, says a good bit to me...

https://www.theguardian.com/business...-markets-slump
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  #3572  
Old 08-05-2024, 12:35 PM
Ken Robb Ken Robb is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by redir View Post
All because of a dumb jobs report.
Well, there might be some other influences like a major dispute in the Middle East.
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  #3573  
Old 08-05-2024, 12:54 PM
jamesdak jamesdak is offline
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LOL, figures! I'm withint about a week of deciding if I'm retiring early. A guess on a positive note, my investments really aren't part of my retired living budget plans so there is that.
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  #3574  
Old 08-05-2024, 02:28 PM
unterhausen unterhausen is offline
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Last year sometime, I moved my retirement around in TIAA. Through an oversight, it all went into stocks. So my returns on that account have been really good because of the bubble. Just rebalanced it a week ago. Also rolled over a mostly stock account last week. So that money is currently in cash. Better to be lucky than good, I think.
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  #3575  
Old 08-05-2024, 02:52 PM
tylercheung tylercheung is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by C40_guy View Post
Speaking as an economist...

It depends.
ah the dismal science!
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  #3576  
Old 08-05-2024, 02:58 PM
the bottle ride the bottle ride is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by redir View Post
All because of a dumb jobs report.
The discretionary Sahm rule in effect…. Of course we will see revisions (regardless of administration)

By almost every single measure stocks were expensive- it’s healthy to have a pull back.

I think it is always important to remind ourselves that trees don’t grow to the sky.
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  #3577  
Old 08-05-2024, 03:07 PM
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kppolich kppolich is offline
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Nice little buying opportunity this morning, ey?
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  #3578  
Old 08-05-2024, 03:16 PM
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fa63 fa63 is offline
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And algorithmic trading

Quote:
Originally Posted by redir View Post
All because of a dumb jobs report.
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  #3579  
Old 08-05-2024, 03:25 PM
Cyzemup Cyzemup is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kppolich View Post
Nice little buying opportunity this morning, ey?
That’s if you had access to your account…
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  #3580  
Old 08-05-2024, 03:45 PM
makoti makoti is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jamesdak View Post
LOL, figures! I'm withint about a week of deciding if I'm retiring early. A guess on a positive note, my investments really aren't part of my retired living budget plans so there is that.
I retired at the peak of covid, just as the economy faltered, inflation exploded, and a war was on its way.
Textbook bad time to retire.
So far, so good. Recovered what I lost (today not included) and then some, and I expect the same will happen here. The key for me was I didn't really have to take much out of my investments to live, so they were able to bounce back.
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  #3581  
Old 08-05-2024, 04:02 PM
deluz deluz is offline
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I read this was due to overvalued stocks and signs of a recession but this is all really my fault, the market opposes to whatever I do.
My 401K was not going anywhere this year so I put some of my money into an aggressive growth fund (after all the gains were already made) and that is when the market crashed. I figure I have lost $15K since doing that. I am absolutely sure if I took my money out the market would instantly rebound. But no, I am not going to take the loss and leave it in so you can look forward for a further downturn in the market.
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  #3582  
Old 08-05-2024, 04:40 PM
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redir redir is offline
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I think it's gonna blow over. The thing about the jobs report is that it is as it is becasue everyone is employed. Also construction and service sector is still hiring. I think the Wall St. Tycoons love to take advantage of an iffy jobs report. It literally happens every time. Take advantage of the down turn then turn it back up.
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  #3583  
Old 08-05-2024, 04:55 PM
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Elefantino Elefantino is offline
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I don't have much hair left to set on fire.
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  #3584  
Old 08-05-2024, 05:06 PM
jamesdak jamesdak is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by makoti View Post
I retired at the peak of covid, just as the economy faltered, inflation exploded, and a war was on its way.
Textbook bad time to retire.
So far, so good. Recovered what I lost (today not included) and then some, and I expect the same will happen here. The key for me was I didn't really have to take much out of my investments to live, so they were able to bounce back.
Yep, thanks for the confirmation on how I see it.

It's all about quality of life for me. That means time is way more valuable to me then money. Sort of the same reason I've stayed at my current job for years vs chasing promotions and raises. I get off pretty much everyday at 2:30 and go home to ride. Way more valuable to me then more salary.

And a belated congrats on the retirement.
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  #3585  
Old 08-05-2024, 08:23 PM
tv_vt tv_vt is offline
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I thought this was interesting. It's very hard to 'play' the market. Will just ride this out. Don't need to draw on principal now anyway.
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