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  #2146  
Old 03-18-2020, 10:05 AM
unterhausen unterhausen is offline
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I agree, once the contagion peaks out, the markets will settle a little. At least until the second wave hits. China is seeing things recover, hopefully people are watching to see what happens if there is a second wave of infections.
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  #2147  
Old 03-18-2020, 10:27 AM
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MattTuck MattTuck is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by verticaldoug View Post
Said in another way, markets stop panicking when GOV start panicking.
There are definitely opportunities out here. If you have a 2+ year window, you should be allocating .... but do it slowly. You can never get the bottom. That's just luck. Nothing more.
Opportunities to get crushed like a muppet.

When you say panicking, that is really a euphemism for making taking serious policy action. The issue with this is that there is no policy solution that is actually good for the markets. This is a huge shock to aggregate demand, and we're already overburdened with debt at every level of the system from individuals to sovereigns.

The market SHOULD be going lower, that is the appropriate response to lower expected future cash flows.
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  #2148  
Old 03-18-2020, 10:29 AM
akelman akelman is offline
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Originally Posted by MattTuck View Post
Opportunities to get crushed like a muppet.

Why are you crushing muppets? I'm not one to kink-shame, but that seems really sick, man.
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  #2149  
Old 03-18-2020, 11:37 AM
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Closing in on a 15 minute halt...
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  #2150  
Old 03-18-2020, 11:43 AM
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Originally Posted by Tony T View Post
Closing in on a 15 minute halt...
Just bought some ZM and TDOC. Bought CTXS last week. Would like to find a couple of pure play teleworking companies, but most aren't public. Bigger ones are Cisco, F5, etc. Friend of mine at a small company in the space says customers are standing in line to throw money at them.

Was thinking about Peloton but it's had some big ups lately and I don't see it as a long term play. It's a niche play. Of course, having said that, I've been long in RACE for several years... (got it free when FCA spun it off...)
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  #2151  
Old 03-18-2020, 11:56 AM
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HALTED (for 15 min)
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  #2152  
Old 03-18-2020, 11:57 AM
mtechnica mtechnica is offline
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I don’t think the bottom is in sight, I wouldn’t be buying anything right now.
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  #2153  
Old 03-18-2020, 11:58 AM
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Originally Posted by mtechnica View Post
I don’t think the bottom is in sight, I wouldn’t be buying anything right now.
Yes, lots more down to come...

Lots of cash on the sideline waiting for the right time to add to Apple, Amazon, Roku, some other holdings...
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  #2154  
Old 03-18-2020, 12:04 PM
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fiamme red fiamme red is offline
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Not a great day for Uber or Lyft.
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  #2155  
Old 03-18-2020, 12:12 PM
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Trading reopened
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  #2156  
Old 03-18-2020, 12:24 PM
mtechnica mtechnica is offline
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Originally Posted by C40_guy View Post
Yes, lots more down to come...

Lots of cash on the sideline waiting for the right time to add to Apple, Amazon, Roku, some other holdings...
I’d be prepared to hold onto that cash for months if I were you, before even considering putting it into the market. I’m not an expert though, just some guy on the internet that happens to have a history degree.
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  #2157  
Old 03-18-2020, 12:27 PM
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Crude down ~20%, ~$21.50, 18 yr low.
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  #2158  
Old 03-18-2020, 12:34 PM
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Tony T Tony T is offline
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DOW less than 900 points to:
"On the day Trump was elected the Dow closed at 18,333"

…but below date of inauguration:
Attached Images
File Type: png Screen Shot 2020-03-18 at 2.30.44 PM.png (57.8 KB, 53 views)

Last edited by Tony T; 03-18-2020 at 01:33 PM.
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  #2159  
Old 03-18-2020, 12:46 PM
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Originally Posted by mtechnica View Post
I’d be prepared to hold onto that cash for months if I were you, before even considering putting it into the market. I’m not an expert though, just some guy on the internet that happens to have a history degree.
Thank you for your concern. Seriously.

This is retirement money, not needed for 10+ years.

I'm not an expert either, by the way. I've got a liberal arts degree in thinking (economics) and two advanced degrees, one from the School of Hard Knockz and a second in MSU.
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  #2160  
Old 03-18-2020, 01:04 PM
echappist echappist is offline
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The irony of Airlines requesting a $50B bailout

Is that they spent 96% of free cash flow on share buybacks

from a Bloomberg article today
Quote:
The biggest U.S. airlines spent 96% of free cash flow last decade on buying back their own shares. American Airlines Group Inc. -- which is not shown in the chart but is included in overall figures -- led the pack, with negative cumulative free cash flow during the decade while it repurchased more than $12.5 billion of its shares. United Airlines Holdings Inc. used 80% of its free cash flow on buybacks, while the S&P 500 Index as a whole allocated about 50% for the purpose. As the industry reels under the weight of the coronavirus outbreak corporate leaders are seeking federal assistance to ease the burden
Swimming without their trunks on, and the tide just went out...
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