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Old 01-12-2023, 03:24 PM
verticaldoug verticaldoug is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 3,359
Quote:
Originally Posted by rice rocket View Post
Crappy NYT headline.

Airfares affect such a small portion of the population, a 3% drop shouldn't even register on the CPI.


Edit:

https://www.bls.gov/cpi/factsheets/airline-fares.htm

0.481%
of the market basket, so net impact of -0.01%?
https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm



This chart has the weights for various components of the index as of Dec 2022 this release.

Energy is 7.8% of the index and down 4.5%. So a total contribution of -0.35% of the -0.1% decline.

Airlines are 0.63% of the index and down 3.1%. So total contribution was -0.02%. Energy effect was 17.5x larger.

Non-alcoholic beverages had a bigger negative effect on prices than airlines.

Journalists remain numerically challenged.


*NOTE* RICE ROCKET number is the weight in DEC 2021, the current weight in the basket is 0.63 Dec 2022

The fed really needs to see Rent/Rent Equivalent in Core CPI decline. It is still at 0.8% which is too high.

Last edited by verticaldoug; 01-12-2023 at 03:32 PM.
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