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Old 03-31-2020, 10:19 AM
verticaldoug verticaldoug is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 3,315
Back to Q2 unemployment forecasts

The best I see now is Goldman with 15%.

The St. Louis Fed has a really back of the envelop scenario:

Estimated Layoffs in Q2 = 47.05mm people
Unemployed Persons in Q2 = 52.81 mm

Unemployment rate = 32.1%

You can find in on stlouisfed.org on-the-economy blog
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