Know the rules The Paceline Forum Builder's Spotlight


Go Back   The Paceline Forum > General Discussion

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 12-08-2016, 08:51 PM
Schmed's Avatar
Schmed Schmed is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Location: Earth
Posts: 789
OT: How much $ do you need to retire?

I'm looking closer at this as I get older.... On-line calculators give me various numbers: $1.8MM to $4.0MM needed when I retire (in about 15 yrs).

Depending on which one I believe, I'm either:

A) in good shape to retire
or
B) eating cat food during retirement supplemented by free samples at Costco

Any of you visit a financial planner? We went to see one, but he was pushing all their products (Northwestern Mutual) and pretty much scared us away given all the things we should be investing in.

I've almost always put 15% of my income away in 401k and that money is still not a slam dunk amount of money
__________________

IF Planet X | Kona Ti SS 29er | Scott Fatbike | Turner Flux
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 12-08-2016, 08:53 PM
Louis Louis is offline
Boeuf Chaîne
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: St. Louis MO
Posts: 25,465
About as much income as you're making before you retired should be safe.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 12-08-2016, 09:00 PM
Tony T's Avatar
Tony T Tony T is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 6,158
Do your own projection. (and how much you need depends on where you live)
The toughest part is how long one will live.
Keep track of what and where your monthly expenses are going.
Then determine what you want to do when you retire. If you want to travel, then estimate the annual cost.
Then comes the hard part, how to allocate what you have saved to investments — this is the hard part because there is no way to know where the market will be in 15 years (did anyone know that the DOW would be approaching 20,000 when it crashed to 6,000 in 2008?)
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 12-08-2016, 09:11 PM
biker72's Avatar
biker72 biker72 is offline
Older Than You
 
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Dallas TX Suburb.
Posts: 2,416
Financial planners are like doctors. You don't know you've got a bad one till it's too late.

There are good financial advisors out there but it's really hard to beat low cost index Mutual Funds or ETF's for the long haul.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 12-08-2016, 09:29 PM
eddief eddief is online now
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Santa Rosa, CA
Posts: 11,854
i just joined the ranks of the retired today

No one in my family has lived past 80. If that's true for me I have enough to party hardy. If I last longer then the parties will be less hardy. My plan suggests I will be able to spend at least 25% more in retirement than I've been living on in the last many years.

I feel like if I hit hard times our politicians will ensure my security.
__________________
Crust Malocchio, Turbo Creo

Last edited by eddief; 12-08-2016 at 09:33 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 12-08-2016, 09:31 PM
Louis Louis is offline
Boeuf Chaîne
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: St. Louis MO
Posts: 25,465
Congratulations, Eddie.

Enjoy yourself
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 12-08-2016, 09:44 PM
jds108 jds108 is online now
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Big Sky Country
Posts: 1,142
Have you determined what kind of monthly budget you'd like?

From there, you can work backwards from a withdrawal rate to the amount that needs to be invested to hit that budget.

I go here: http://www.early-retirement.org/forums/ for discussions about retirement and finances. You'll find discussions there about FIREcalc which is a tool you can use to determine your chances of success with certain types of investments and your retirement expectations.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 12-08-2016, 09:51 PM
jlwdm jlwdm is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: DFW TX
Posts: 4,331
Three biggest factors: how long you are going to live, what price house you are going to live in and potential medical and care expenses.

No easy answers.

Jeff
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 12-08-2016, 10:15 PM
nesteel nesteel is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Posts: 431
What the hells retirement? A bit of perspective: no one on my moms side of the family lived past 69.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 12-08-2016, 10:24 PM
dustyrider dustyrider is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 2,998
Quote:
Originally Posted by jlwdm View Post
Three biggest factors: how long you are going to live, what price house you are going to live in and potential medical and care expenses.

No easy answers.

Jeff

Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 12-08-2016, 11:22 PM
Louis Louis is offline
Boeuf Chaîne
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: St. Louis MO
Posts: 25,465
Quote:
Originally Posted by jds108 View Post
You'll find discussions there about FIREcalc which is a tool you can use to determine your chances of success with certain types of investments and your retirement expectations.
Here's an even simpler online calculator:

https://retirementplans.vanguard.com...estEggCalc.jsf
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 12-09-2016, 12:00 AM
seanile's Avatar
seanile seanile is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2014
Location: London
Posts: 1,768
note:
fiduciary (for you) =/= financial advisor (for profit)

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/fiduciary.asp
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 12-09-2016, 01:06 AM
dgauthier dgauthier is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Los Angeles, CA
Posts: 1,401
Quote:
Originally Posted by Schmed View Post
I'm looking closer at this as I get older.... On-line calculators give me various numbers: $1.8MM to $4.0MM needed when I retire (in about 15 yrs). (...)
I'll be retiring in 8 years. Our financial planner said, "You don't need any help from me. You've achieved your goal." So I hope I can give you good advice.

To calculate a bare minimum, take your current yearly income (your current lifestyle's fine, right?) and multiply it by the number of years you expect to live after retirement. (I use the age my father died -- 83 -- as my minimum life expectancy.) So if you currently make $100,000 a year, and you expect to live 20 years after retiring, you'll need 2 million in the bank.

Your money will earn interest sitting in the bank for 20 years, but *ignore that*. It's hard to predict the future. Inflation will erode interest earnings, unexpected expenses will happen, etc. If you can hit that number, you won't be eating cat food.

Now that you know your bare minimum, try to exceed that as much as you can.

Last edited by dgauthier; 12-09-2016 at 01:10 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 12-09-2016, 01:29 AM
Louis Louis is offline
Boeuf Chaîne
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: St. Louis MO
Posts: 25,465
Quote:
Originally Posted by dgauthier View Post
To calculate a bare minimum, take your current yearly income (your current lifestyle's fine, right?) and multiply it by the number of years you expect to live after retirement. (I use the age my father died -- 83 -- as my minimum life expectancy.) So if you currently make $100,000 a year, and you expect to live 20 years after retiring, you'll need 2 million in the bank.
I'd bet my 401K that nearly all financial planning advisors will tell you that this is most likely too conservative, and that the vast majority of Americans nearing retirement wouldn't be able to achieve it. Heck, I wonder what % of them have even 1 year's income saved - over 50%? I don't think so.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 12-09-2016, 01:37 AM
dgauthier dgauthier is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Los Angeles, CA
Posts: 1,401
Quote:
Originally Posted by Louis View Post
I'd bet my 401K that nearly all financial planning advisors will tell you that this is most likely too conservative (...)
Sure it's conservative, but too conservative? Do you want to end up too high or too low?

What's your pleasure, Frisky Treats or Meow Mix?

Edit: I just realized I read "too conservative" as "too safe", but you might have meant it as "too low". Which did you mean Louis?

Last edited by dgauthier; 12-09-2016 at 09:55 AM.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:50 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.